Lesson 2 · 30 min

Uncertainty and significant figures

Accuracy versus precision, systematic versus random error, counting and calculating with significant figures — and reading a meniscus under the magnifier.

In this lesson

  • Distinguish accuracy from precision, and the systematic and random errors behind them
  • Read cylinders and burettes correctly: every certain digit plus one estimate, without parallax
  • Count the significant figures of a measurement and spot ambiguous trailing zeros
  • Round calculated results by the multiplication and addition rules

Two students read the same graduated cylinder. One writes “36 mL”, the other “36.4 mL”. Both are “right”, but they promise different things: the first says “somewhere between 35 and 37”, the second “between 36.2 and 36.6”. The number of digits you write down is itself a statement of uncertainty. This lesson is about writing, reading and calculating those digits honestly.

Predict first

A balance has not been zeroed and reads about 0.05 g high every time. A 10.000 g reference mass is weighed three times: 10.049 g, 10.051 g, 10.050 g. These data are —

Pick an answer and lock it in before you look. A wrong guess teaches more than no guess.

Accuracy, precision and two kinds of error

  • Accuracy is how close a result (or mean) is to the true value. It suffers from systematic error, which pushes every reading the same way: an unzeroed balance, an uncalibrated instrument, a biased method.
  • Precision is how close repeated results are to one another. It suffers from random error, which is sometimes up and sometimes down: judging the last estimated digit, small temperature fluctuations.

Random error shrinks when you average repeated measurements and is measured by the standard deviation ss; systematic error is found only by comparison with a reference standard.

xˉ=1n∑i=1nxis=∑i=1n(xi−xˉ)2n−1\bar{x} = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i \qquad s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i-\bar{x})^2}{n-1}}
The mean estimates the true value; the standard deviation measures precision.
xix_i
the i-th measurement
nn
number of measurements (n − 1 because the mean has used up one degree of freedom)
xˉ\bar{x}
the mean
ss
sample standard deviation: smaller is more precise; it says nothing about systematic error

Reading: certain digits plus one estimated digit

Write down every digit you can count from the marks, then estimate one more — to about a tenth of the smallest division. A 100 mL cylinder is marked every 1 mL, so read to 0.1 mL (e.g. 36.4 mL); a 50 mL burette is marked every 0.1 mL, so read to 0.01 mL (e.g. 23.62 mL). The last digit is an estimate that two careful readers may disagree on by 1 or 2 — that is the reading uncertainty.

For aqueous solutions read the bottom of the meniscus with your eye level with it. On a cylinder, looking down reads high and looking up reads low; a burette is numbered from the top down, so there the effects reverse. In the magnifier below you can change your eye height and see how large parallax is.

One estimated digit · reading uncertainty · parallax

Reading lens: the meniscus

Sample 1
20406080100100 mL
The whole instrument
708090
The meniscus under the lens · ×4

Estimate to a tenth of the smallest division: this one is graduated in 1 mL, so record 1 decimal places; the reading uncertainty is about ±0.2 mL.

Each sample’s level comes from a deterministic hash and carries one digit more than you can record. The lens places marks at the real graduation spacing; the meniscus is the concave surface water forms on glass (schematic). Parallax shift = tube radius × tan(viewing angle) ÷ tube length per mL. Class A tolerances: 50 mL burette ±0.05 mL (Harris), 100 mL cylinder ±0.5 mL (ISO 4788).
Read the 100 mL cylinder at eye level and check, then switch to the burette (note which way the numbers run), then raise your eye by 10° and see how far the reading moves.

Counting significant figures

  1. Every non-zero digit is significant: 4.234.23 has 3.
  2. Zeros between non-zero digits are significant: 40054005 has 4.
  3. Leading zeros only locate the decimal point: the 0.000.00 in 0.003400.00340 does not count.
  4. With a decimal point, trailing zeros are significant: 0.003400.00340 has 3 and 100.0100.0 has 4.
  5. Without a decimal point, trailing zeros of a whole number are ambiguous: 12001200 may have 2, 3 or 4. Writing 1.20×1031.20\times10^{3} settles it.
  6. Exact numbers (counted items, definitions such as 1 in = 2.54 cm, and NAN_\mathrm{A} since 2019) have unlimited significant figures and never limit a result.
Digits · rounding · arithmetic rules

Significant-figures workbench

Try
Significant figures 4

Scientific notation: 4.050 × 10⁻²

  • leading zero: placeholder, not significant
  • decimal point
  • non-zero digit: significant
  • captive zero: significant
  • trailing zero with a decimal point: significant
All arithmetic is exact decimal arithmetic (big integer × a power of ten), so 2.5 × 3.42 = 8.55 correctly rounds to 8.6 instead of the binary 8.549999…; division is carried to 40 digits, and half-up rounding needs only the first dropped digit.
Under “Count” try 1200 and 1200.; then switch to “Calculate” and compare how 12.11 + 18.0 and 2.5 × 3.42 are rounded.

Significant figures in calculations

  • Multiply and divide: keep as many significant figures as the input with the fewest. 2.5×3.42=8.55→8.62.5 \times 3.42 = 8.55 \to 8.6 (two).
  • Add and subtract: keep digits only down to the leftmost last place — the input with the fewest decimal places. 12.11+18.0=30.11→30.112.11 + 18.0 = 30.11 \to 30.1.
  • In multi-step work carry one or two extra digits and round only at the end, so rounding errors do not pile up.

Subtraction can destroy significant figures: 1.0−0.98=0.02→0.01.0 - 0.98 = 0.02 \to 0.0 — two numbers with two significant figures each leave almost nothing reliable. That is why weighing by difference needs a suitably sized sample.

Worked example

The density of a liquid, weighing by difference

A beaker with liquid weighs 58.371 g; the empty beaker weighs 32.649 g. The liquid’s volume, measured in a cylinder, is 21.3 mL. Find the density, correctly rounded.

Concept check

How many significant figures does 0.00520 have?

Try the calculation

A burette reads 1.25 mL before a titration and 24.87 mL after. What volume was delivered?

mL

Key takeaways

  • Accuracy is how far the mean is from the truth (systematic error); precision is how close repeats are to each other (random error).
  • Read every certain digit plus one estimate; level your eye with the bottom of the meniscus — on a cylinder looking down reads high, looking up reads low.
  • Leading zeros never count; captive zeros and trailing zeros after a decimal point do; trailing zeros of whole numbers are ambiguous until written in scientific notation.
  • Multiply and divide by the fewest significant figures, add and subtract by the fewest decimal places; exact numbers never limit a result.
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Data and references

  1. D. C. Harris, Quantitative Chemical Analysis, 9th ed. (W. H. Freeman, 2016), Ch. 2–4 (glassware tolerances, significant figures, experimental error).
  2. ISO 4788:2005, Laboratory glassware — Graduated measuring cylinders (Class A tolerances).
  3. GB/T 8170-2008《数值修约规则与极限数值的表示和判定》.
  4. JCGM 100:2008, Evaluation of measurement data — Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement (GUM).